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Author Topic: Win with remaining 16 honor  (Read 1690 times)
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KlemenKocjancic
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« on: September 22, 2009, 20:49:06 PM »

I used calculator and according to it I win battle with just 16 honor left (normally you'll fled on around 45)? How come? Is it possible, because defender has only troops in fort?

Regards,
K
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HRdevil
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2009, 20:59:46 PM »

I used calculator and according to it I win battle with just 16 honor left (normally you'll fled on around 45)? How come? Is it possible, because defender has only troops in fort?

Regards,
K

1 point moral = 2%fleeing

16=68% fleeing
23=54% fleeing and so on...
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_rico
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2009, 22:45:21 PM »

not exacly...  you have to count how many rounds is bellow 50 lets say

morale = 50 - stay for sure - 1
morale = 43 - stay with 86% -0,86
morale = 36 - stay with 72% -0,72
morale = 29 - stay with 58% -0,58
morale = 24 - stay with 44% -0,44
morale = 16 - stay with 30% -0,30

now lets play with numbers

0,86*0,72*0,58*0,44*0,30 =~0,047  it means he was veeeery lucky because probabilty to stay in battle in this sequence was 4,7% *Smiley* but of course. If you look at single event it is 30%
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nightkiller
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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2009, 23:01:22 PM »

not exacly...  you have to count how many rounds is bellow 50 lets say

morale = 50 - stay for sure - 1
morale = 43 - stay with 86% -0,86
morale = 36 - stay with 72% -0,72
morale = 29 - stay with 58% -0,58
morale = 24 - stay with 44% -0,44
morale = 16 - stay with 30% -0,30

now lets play with numbers

0,86*0,72*0,58*0,44*0,30 =~0,047  it means he was veeeery lucky because probabilty to stay in battle in this sequence was 4,7% *Smiley* but of course. If you look at single event it is 30%
congratulations very very nice explation  *bravo* *bravo* *bravo*
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HRdevil
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« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2009, 23:17:10 PM »

22 moral stay with 44%
16 moral stay with 32%
you were 2% wrong while i did it upside down (The wrong way). *pardon*
« Last Edit: September 22, 2009, 23:23:24 PM by HRdevil » Logged

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tiger
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« Reply #5 on: September 23, 2009, 12:04:09 PM »

22 moral stay with 44%
16 moral stay with 32%
you were 2% wrong while i did it upside down (The wrong way). *pardon*
nope. to get chances you substract 22 from 50
50-22=28*2 =56% chances to flee.
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tiger
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« Reply #6 on: September 23, 2009, 21:33:57 PM »

nope. to get chances you substract 22 from 50
50-22=28*2 =56% chances to flee.

28=56% i only pick a number and multiply x2.

i'm getting confused. *sos*  *sos* *sos*
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tiger
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« Reply #7 on: September 23, 2009, 22:04:27 PM »

its in general the same.
example for 22 morale.
you have 44 % chances to continue
you have 56% chances to flee
so i dont know what you like more but you can decide if you wish to fight that battle or not on both criteria. they are the same.
but we were talking about chances to run so they are 56% on morale 22. if we dont count all chances before.
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tiger
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« Reply #8 on: September 23, 2009, 22:16:03 PM »

its in general the same.
example for 22 morale.
you have 44 % chances to continue
you have 56% chances to flee
so i dont know what you like more but you can decide if you wish to fight that battle or not on both criteria. they are the same.
but we were talking about chances to run so they are 56% on morale 22. if we dont count all chances before.

ahh, the upsidedown way feww thx i though i calculated wrong the whole time. *hihi*
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